2010 Farnborough Aviation Trade Show

   It is heartwarming to see the Boeing Dreamliner making a sure recovery from its delayed production schedule. Boeing deserves renewed faith in the B-787 from potential buyers, not so much because of the recent WTO decision against Airbus, but because the American aircraft manufacturing company is now more familiar with the fine art of outsourcing the construction of new aircraft not only to ‘safe’ partners, such as the U.K. , but to possible future competing Asian countries as well.  Boeing’s transition toward outsourcing the construction of its most modern transport aircraft has been considered as the major reason for the delay in production of the Dreamliner.           

   The European consortium EADS is still ahead of the game on that level, by most accounts. For example, EADS has allowed China years ago to assemble Airbus 320 on site, knowing that outsourcing often results in a transfer of technology most likely beyond the limit stipulated by contract. Boeing, on the other hand, chose safe subcontractors in its outsourcing policy, from within the USA or with predictable economic partners such as the U.K., perhaps under pressure from the controversial Buy American Policy.            

   Boeing’s claim to put into service a new transport jet, the B-787 Dreamliner, that will emit 20% less pollution and burn less fuel* is not all that impressive inasmuch as the claim can very well be perceived as being too little too late. Also, such welcoming figures are not wholly in response to pressure from environmentalist organizations. On the positive side, the claim does signal a new trend that might accelerate in the next couple of decades, still behind previous promises made in Copenhagen and Davos. Moreover, who should really be credited for that reduction in pollution levels: Rolls Royce, General Electric or both?            

Boeing 787 Dreamliner

   Isn’t it unsettling that news media consider the Boeing 787 and the Airbus 380 as totally different aircraft, and yet track them both as bed-fellows in the sky in terms of the race for the highest number of firm purchase orders? More reliable sales figures will emerge after the Farnborough show is over. Even then, the figures will not be finalized because one has to differentiate firm orders from other variations of formal interest in the purchase of new passenger jets, namely options to buy either aircraft. After all, Boeing’s sell/purchase contracts might not worded in the same way as those normally used by EADS, for instance in matters regarding penalties for cancellation, not to mention the airlines’ own brand of stipulations. Grouping sale figures under one concept of sale and purchase agreement is risky for aviation reporters and analysts.            

   The Airbus A-380 and the Boeing Dreamliner yield different cost figures on a seat-per-mile basis. It would be most interesting to find out which one is the uncontested winner on that score. In the case of the Airbus A-380 in particular, the difficulty will be to focus on a seating configuration that will carry the day in terms of profitability. Seating arrangements can vary between 550 to 850 passenger seats, depending on the scheduled routes flown and type of airline. It is obvious Ryanair will not choose the same cabin configuration as Emirates Airlines.            

Airbus A-380

   Would you know that the Douglas DC-7 would not have seen the light of day in the early 50s, had the Douglas Aircraft Company not managed to secure 40 million dollars worth of firm contracts while the most advanced  and last piston-engine transport aircraft was still on the drawing board? However, trading in new advanced passenger jets nowadays offers aircraft development financing solutions as creative as those used for the purchase of new transport aircraft types rolling off assembly plants, within WTO safeguards, of course.            

PS: Aircraft fuel-efficiency is a relative concept resulting mainly from the economic circumstances of the day for airlines, knowing that fuel costs alone amount to around 30% of operating costs. At present, one would be hard pressed to find general standards of fuel efficiency set out by aeronautical regulatory agencies.

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New pictures found of pilot and novelist Antoine de Saint-Exupéry

Mystery about acclaimed pilot and novelist, Antoine de Saint-Exupéry’s death deepens after WW2 memorabilia collector’s son hands over photos, unseen so far, of Saint-Exupéry taken before his last flying mission. 

   Nearly anytime people believe that all has been said and told about a deceased celebrity, something new turns up about that person, with the potential of yielding more meaningful details about the person’s life.

   The person in this case is famed aviator and writer Antoine de Saint-Exupéry known initially for his contribution to the development and operation of the longest scheduled air mail service on record in the post WW1 period.  Once completed, the air mail route spanned from France to Brazil, Argentina and Peru, via Spain, Morocco and Senegal. He wrote his first novels in the same period.

   Later, Saint-Exupéry took part in WW2 initially by flying reconnaissance missions over German-occupied parts of northern France. That did not stop him from pursuing his boundless passion for writing novels inspired by his deep sense of humanity and sometimes too by his former work as an air mail pilot and aerodrome manager. In terms of fiction writing, he authored the widely acclaimed short novel “The Little Prince”.  He also left behind volumes of personal observations of current events and letters to friends and relatives quite revealing about his times.

   Briefly stated, he was a flying author, reporter, story-teller and philosopher of sorts, the inspiring figure PhD students wrote their thesis on or literary critiques turned their attention to.

   After a two-year stay in New York, he joined Allies in North Africa and was eventually posted in Corsica from where he acted as a military reconnaissance pilot. He flew one such military reconnaissance mission on July 31, 1944, but failed to return to base. Accordingly, he was reported as “missing in action” as of that day.

   The new twist now about Saint-Exupéry comes in the form of four new photographs of him and a log book of the P-38 he flew, all of which were kept by French collector, Raymond Duriez. Report of this discovery first came last week from the French daily “Ouest-France” and was picked up on June 15, 2010, in an article published in Le Monde, one of France’s national dailies and online news sources.

   What is behind the latest new twist about him? The fact is since American reporter John Phillips interviewed Saint-Exupéry in May 1944 at his military air base and took professional-quality  pictures of him, the paper trail ended there chronologically speaking, except for an entry found decades later in a Luftwaffe pilot’s log book stating to have shot down a P-38 Lightening aircraft on the day and over the area Saint-Exupéry was reported to have gone missing.

   Another online French daily, Liberation.fr  also picked up the story on June 18, 2010, and commented on the meaning of the newly found photos. However, it further commented on a  log book presumably preserved along with the photos in a small cardboard box. The log book, the veracity and authenticity of which have yet to be confirmed, contains entries stating that the P-38 Lightening flown by Saint-Exupéry and other pilots was plagued by mechanical issues and failures. Details of the mechanical problems are not publicly known yet.

   If the log book entries prove accurate and authentic, they would provide yet another explanation for Saint-Exupéry’s non-return from his last recon mission. High altitude photo reconnaissance missions on a P-38 were physically and mentally demanding by several accouns. It was originally thought he, intentionally or not, allowed his P-38 to impact the Mediterranean Sea at high speed, or that he was shot down by a German combat pilot flying above him as noted in a Luftwaffe pilot’s log book found after the war.

   The pilot in question, Horst Rippert, expressed sadness in 2008, at having unknowingly shot down, in July 1944, Saint-Exupéry whom he knew as an aviation writer and considered as a heroic French aviator.

   However, the in-flight mechanical failure theory could shed a totally different light on the reasons for Saint-Exupéry’s fatal mission. An experienced peace-time and war-time pilot, Saint-Exupéry was only 44 years years of age on the day he vanished while flying an advanced P-38 aircraft. By the medical fitness standards of the day, he was over-aged for that type of military mission. Yet, through persistence, he obtained permission to fly a limited number of photo-reconnaissance missions. He most likely busted that limit too with his legendary eloquence and art of persuasion. There was no stopping him, so it seems.

   Biographers and military historians confirm that Saint-Exupéry flew successful missions with P-38 type aircraft and that he provided Allies with relevant, if not crucial, intelligence on German positions in France.

   He was too young to die and considered too old to fly but, above all, he proved himself useful to the very end. He could not live in any way other than being a novelist and a man of action, more specifically a pilot in active military duty for the benefit of France and humanity at large.

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A tale of two views on the present Concorde trial

NOT ONLY MUST JUSTICE BE DONE, BUT JUSTICE MUST ALSO BE SEEN TO BE DONE.”

THE CASE OF THE CONCORDE CRASH IN JULY  2000, AT ROISSY AIRPORT, PARIS.

   Ah, the wonderful world of aviation together with a volcano eruption in Iceland have me delayed in Europe and unable to provide a proper follow-up on the Concorde crash proceedings in Pontoise (Paris) or any other interesting aviation matters!

   The one point worth sharing on this blog, for now at any rate, is a recent comment made to me by a Belgian lawyer who regularly represents clients in the U.S. and has a broader perspective on the present Concorde trial near Paris, as a result of dealing with the Civil Law system and the American Law system.

   It would seem that if the crash of Concorde had occurred in the U.S. for instance, most, if not all, issues surrounding the crash, whether civil or criminal in nature, would have been settled out-of-court or dealt with through plea-bargaining, or possibly also through a judicial inquiry with recommendation powers only. Although current criminal proceedings in Pontoise seem tedious, the same lawyer stated that Justice would not have been publicly visible without them, contrary to out-of-court settlement and plea-bargaining processes that typically do not result in full public disclosure and debate.

   Well, food for thought…So far, I was inclined to think the current criminal proceedings were not suitable for an aviation crash of such magnitude and in light of the irreparable damage to supersonic transport known so far.

   As a side-comment, I was struck in the last month by the number of references in public media to the so-called Concorde trial. Concorde is not on trial, of course; it is just a way of expressing the significance of the crash that brought a legend to a sudden stop. The trial is aimed more specifically at key figures involved in the French/British Concorde project since 1960.  It is open to debate whether or not the right figures were picked out by judicial authorities on the French side of the joint Concorde project and why the U.K. was left out.

   It was stated in a previous posting on this blog that the Concorde program was prestige-driven. This was certainly a major factor, to the point where major decisions about the continuation of the Concorde program were admittedly taken at a political level. Whether this situation had any impact on the necessary airworthiness upgrades for Concorde remains to be seen.

   In fact, he Concorde program was not entirely prestige-driven. Up to the early 1990s, there was still hope that the program might keep the U.K. and France at the forefront of knowledge and experience in SST technology while, across the Atlantic, their Americans counterparts were pursuing the same objective. More precisely, a second generation Concorde was unofficially in the offing. In addition, the words “prestige-driven” do not necessarily apply to the pragmatic desire for passengers to fly at twice the speed of sound, provided they could afford it. However, such words do capture the ‘magic’ of supersonic flight for some passengers and public figures, and also the need to maintain the public image of France and the U.K. as leading countries in aeronautical technology.

   Are such considerations material to the current Concorde trial in Pontoise? I submit they are, as these factual elements point to the highest political levels in matters concerning large expenditures of public funds to finance the upkeep and perceived safety requirements of Concorde, on the French side of the channel anyway. This was, in my opinion, the overall framework of the Concorde program until disaster struck quite unfortunately for 113 innocent lives, not counting the number of affected relatives and friends, and witnesses at the crash scene.

   Had there been no public criminal proceedings or other transparent venues related to the crash of Concorde in July 2000, how could have the aviation community, concerned airline passengers and interested members of the public  become aware that Concorde was a unique transport aircraft to the point of being certified under a separate set of rules, and operated under separate continuing airworthiness rules as well, quite apart from those applicable to popular subsonic airliners? This question begs another: is the safety level of an airliner dependent on its pedigree? Concorde had no pedigree, except perhaps for the application of military supersonic technology and experience to a much larger an demanding civilian aircraft. Furthermore, few units of Concorde were built and operated. The result is that Concorde was operated for decades as a public transport aircraft, with limited engineering and technical feedback derived from operational experience. Both British Airways and Air France made the best of such limited feedback. That much we know, to their credit.

   With respect, however, as dedicated, knowledgeable and safety-minded the designers, engineers, manufacturers and operators of Concorde aircraft were in their times, the whole Anglo-French SST program was conducted in some sort of vacuum. In fact, Concorde kept on transporting paying passengers for decades with patchwork engineering solutions being applied from one “incident” to the next until the “accident” occurred. Furthermore, concerned civil authorities and Concorde programme managers had not set, as far as we can tell,  a gradual retirement plan for Concorde, despite its increasingly obsolete technology.  As a matter of fact, much of the current Pontoise proceedings hinge upon the issue of foreseeability of a catastrophic failure of Concorde, such as the crash that occurred near Paris in July 2000.

   Which way was the Concorde programme heading just before one of its units crashed near Paris? This is one question that should be answered in the context of the current criminal responsibility hearings in Pontoise (France). The lone judge presiding over the hearings is expected to issue publicly her findings and decision in December 2010.

   In fairness, she might also put Concorde’s 27 years of accident-free commercial operations in the balance. After all, the civil aviation community will be looking at the important outcome of a very public – yet belated – trial of civil aviation past and modern practices.

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Recent Developments in the Concorde Crash Criminal Proceedings

SUMMARY: More than three weeks after criminal proceedings were initiated by French justice officials in Pontoise (France), little is known yet about the key contributing factor, if any, that actually is at the centre of a chain of events that ultimately lead to the crash of Concorde in Gonesse, resulting in the loss of 113 lives. The July 2000 deadly crash of an Air France Concorde, along with extraneous factors such as the financial health of major airlines in general, signaled in 2003 the end of the Concorde program for both Air France and British Airways and, consequently, the end of a supersonic commercial transport era. Continue reading

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Crash and Retirement of Concorde Supersonic Airliner: What Next?

What more can be said by way of generality about Concorde that has not yet been said? Not much, I suppose, especially since criminal hearings are currently underway in Pontoise not far from the crash site. More detailed facts, incriminating or not, about the actual cause and chain of events leading up to the fateful crash are yet to be determined  However, every time I see a photo of the stricken Grand Bird trailing flames on take-off at CDG Paris airport, I am reminded of both the greatness and frailty of the marvelous flying machine.

The greatness of Concorde lies not only in the amount of engineering, flight testing, lobbying for acceptance in foreign countries, and money allocated to the supersonic transport jet mega-project, but also in the purity and elegance of its profile, lines and curvatures together with graceful manoeuvres on take-off and landing, and overall sheer good looks (decibels quite apart, I admit). Moreover, Concorde  kicked off a passionate debate in the far recesses of my own mind: did she look sleek by design or as a result of  her suitability as an airliner in both a subsonic climb to altitude and approach to land environment on the one hand, and a supersonic cruising environment on the other?

Imagine the engineering ingenuity  that went into designing a flap-less delta-wing supersonic airliner fit for existing airports. The end result was an aircraft both so streamlined and functional that body-style designers, such as Ferrari, perhaps could not have dreamed of for any vehicle. At high levels of attack on take-off and landing with her drooped nose, she maintained a graceful look, something straight out of an artist’s imagination.

Most people did not realise also how much engineering know-how had to be applied in order for Concorde to stretch and contract in length as her skin went from low temperatures to high temperatures generated  by Mach 2.2 cruise flight on her wings and fuselage. A civil aviation marvel she was indeed.

By hubris or not, the magnitude of the Concorde project which, some say, helped usher France and the U.K. into the European Union, reflects the hopes and aspirations of a whole generation. Continents would be linked in less than half the time it takes for subsonic jets to fly the same intercontinental routes.

The frailty of Concorde can be found in her anachronism. Her splendour was obvious; however, she was born out of older technology, a problem that a number of reputable aeroplanes, such as the DC-3 and the Boeing 707, to name but a few, shared with Concorde, albeit with fewer news coverage of dramatic and fatal signs of aging.

This airliner was the subject of much attention by both pro-Concorde and anti-Concorde interest groups. A compromise agreement was struck: Concorde would be allowed to overfly populated areas at subsonic speeds only.

Why would dual flag-carrying airliners such as Concorde be allowed to operate amongst slower jetliners built to recent, more stringent and more efficient aeronautical and environmental standards? Oh yes, I hear: “She was grandfathered in.” If so, should public authorities keep on protecting, from a regulatory perspective, a beautiful aeronautical product from a recent past at the cost of putting lives at risk until other circumstances brought its commercial use to an end?

How many people would nowadays go for a ride in a hot air balloon built in all respects like the original Montgolfier brother’s (presumably) successful model?

France and the U.K. had every reason to be jointly proud of Concorde. The problem is neither country knew when to confine the aging supersonic airliner in a museum before disaster struck. Did the the Concorde program change to a prestige-driven venture only? This was likely the case since a number of jet aircraft of an older vintage and no longer allowed to carry paying passengers are still allowed to carry freight. Unfortunately, Concorde did not have a  fall-back commercial niche; flying the Jet Set at premium airfares was its only remaining one.

When Concorde crashed after her fateful take-off from Roissy, she was technologically decades behind her times, even if she could fly at more than twice the speed of other jetliners.

The Concorde disaster in Paris has a positive fall-out: the growing opinion that high-speed intercontinental travel should perhaps be carried out above the atmosphere, i.e. with “suborbital vehicles” (for lack of a better term). What is being designed now for such flights is not an improved existing concept, but a totally different one: a transport vehicle  such as the one recently unveiled by Virgin Air’s CEO, Richard Branson and by Dick Rutan, an expert in composite materials and innovative aircraft designs.

NASA is wise in phasing-out the current space shuttles. In fact, the U.S. space agency had set a life expectancy for its fleet of space shuttles.

Were the U.K. and France in the process of acting likewise for Concorde when the Paris crash occurred? Civil aviation authorities in both countries may have set a time limit only as a result of Concorde’s unfortunate crash in Paris.

Having said this, the future looks bright for supersonic intercontinental travel using suborbital trajectories with whatever vehicles will foot the bill in terms of commercial feasibility.

Happy New Year !

PS: With the underside of their delta wing strengthened after the deadly crash of a Concorde shortly after take-off from Paris-CDG airport in 2000, other Concorde units resumed commercial transatlantic flights under the Air France and British Airways banners. All Concorde units were finally retired in 2003, owing to excessive operating costs to both airlines. Concorde had flown commercially for nearly 30 years with no reported casualties until the most unfortunate Paris crash.  See Wikipedia for further details about the history of Concorde.

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